AVYCASTTwo Thumbs — Avalanche Forecast
Avalanche danger in Two Thumbs (New Zealand) is 3 — Considerable, valid for Monday, September 28, 2026. Published by New Zealand Avalanche Advisory.
Touchy windslabs are likely to be found at higher elevation. Expect a widespread loose wet avalanche cycle as the day heats up. Careful route finding and timing are key to a safe day out on Monday.
Danger by Elevation
Active Avalanche Problems
No recent avalanches have been reported in the area. However there has been limited visibility since the last snowfall. If you see any activity on the Two Thumb Range, please make a public observation. It helps us to produce accurate forecasts. Mainly fine.Wind at 1000 metresWesterly 35 km/h but 55 km/h in exposed places.Wind at 2000 metresWesterly gale 65 km/h.Freezing level1000 metres, lifting to 1300 metres in the morning. The new snow will go someway towards easing the sliding danger. However, windstripped slopes are likely to remain firm with lots of rocks in the runouts. Carrying ski crampons, ice axe and boot crampons and careful evaluation to the conditions is recommended.
More than 20cm of snow fell on Sunday. It was distributed by strong SW then W winds into deep drifts. Prior to this snowfall the snow pack was as follows: Sunny aspects: Mostly bare ground below about 1800m. What little snow is left has gone through multiple melt freeze cycles. Shady aspects: The eastern half has good snow cover above 1600m, reaching 100–120 cm in sheltered spots. Around 40cm on south to southwest slopes. Patches of wind drifted cold snow exist around ridges and terrain features. There are multiple crust layers in the shady snowpack interspersed with weak crystals. This structure is not a problem at present, but could cause elevated avalanche hazard with future loading.
Source: New Zealand Avalanche Advisory · View Original Bulletin
Original (EN)
Frequently asked questions
What does avalanche danger level 3 (Considerable) mean?
Dangerous avalanche conditions — a single person can trigger avalanches on many steep slopes; cautious route selection is essential.
How often is the Two Thumbs forecast updated?
Avycast refreshes hourly; the bulletin is republished by New Zealand Avalanche Advisory usually once a day during the season.
Who publishes the Two Thumbs avalanche forecast?
New Zealand Avalanche Advisory — the official warning service. Avycast aggregates and translates it; always check the original bulletin.
Nearby Regions
- Aoraki/Mt Cook · 45 km
- Mt Hutt · 78 km
- Ohau · 87 km
- Craigieburn Range · 101 km
- Arthur's Pass · 118 km
- Aspiring · 173 km