Two Thumbs — Avalanche Forecast

The latest avalanche bulletin for Two Thumbs (New Zealand) was valid until Saturday, October 31, 2026 (danger 1 — Low). No newer forecast has been published — likely off-season.

Valid for
Published:

This bulletin expired on Saturday, October 31, 2026 — no newer forecast has been published.

Maximum Danger
1 · LOW
Two ThumbsNZ-two-thumbs
1

The snowpack is mostly stable. Watch for loose wet activity as the day warms and small windslabs may be lurking in the north.

Danger by Elevation

Alpine1Low
Treeline1Low
Below treeline1Low

Active Avalanche Problems

Wet Snow
Wet Snow
Alpine
Size1/5
FrequencyPossible
StabilityFair
Wet Snow
Wet Snow
Treeline
Size1/5
FrequencyPossible
StabilityFair
Wind Slab
Wind Slab
Alpine
Size1/5
FrequencyUnlikely
StabilityGood
Wind Slab
Wind Slab
Treeline
Size1/5
FrequencyUnlikely
StabilityGood
Glide Avalanche
Glide Avalanche
Alpine
Size2/5
FrequencyUnlikely
StabilityGood
Glide Avalanche
Glide Avalanche
Treeline
Size2/5
FrequencyUnlikely
StabilityGood

No recent avalanches have been reported in the area. If you see any activity on the Two Thumb Range, please make a public observation. It helps us to produce accurate forecasts. Fine.Wind at 1000 metresSouthwesterlies 30 km/h, dying out for a time in the morning.Wind at 2000 metresSouthwesterly 50 km/h, easing to westerly 30 km/h about midday.Freezing level1000 metres, lifting to 2200 metres in the afternoon. An overnight freeze is possible.  If it does freeze, expect widespread sliding danger. There could be high consequences with lots of rocks in the runouts.  Carrying ski crampons, ice axe and boot crampons and careful evaluation of the conditions is recommended.

A dusting of new snow fell on Thursday. Continuous snow cover is now confined to the slopes facing south, southeast and east above 2000m. Elsewhere, only isolated patches remain. Rain will weaken the snowpack over Monday night.   Expect loose and saturated snow at all elevations on Tuesday. There is further snowpack information in the recent public observation by Michael. https://www.avalanche.net.nz/observation/2063

Source: New Zealand Avalanche Advisory · View Original Bulletin

Original (EN)

Frequently asked questions

What does avalanche danger level 1 (Low) mean?

Generally favourable conditions — avalanches are possible mainly with high additional load on very steep terrain.

How often is the Two Thumbs forecast updated?

Avycast refreshes hourly; the bulletin is republished by New Zealand Avalanche Advisory usually once a day during the season.

Who publishes the Two Thumbs avalanche forecast?

New Zealand Avalanche Advisory — the official warning service. Avycast aggregates and translates it; always check the original bulletin.

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